Equity Alpha

Global Equity Alpha · ML ETF Selection + Regional Allocation + Selective Alpha

Risk profile
GLOBAL · LIVE
Operating view. The ACWI / Global Alpha mix changes the investor risk profile only; it does not change model selections.

Completed cumulative wealth

Completed daily history · current MTD excluded

Investor portfolioACWI ETF

Current MTD

Open holding-month performance is separate from completed history

MTD
Portfolio—
ACWI—
Excess—
Market through—

Official final portfolio

RISK PROFILE

Final portfolio preview

PREVIEW · NOT EXECUTED

ACWI / Global Alpha mix

Selected risk profile translated into investable portfolio weights

RISK PROFILE
—Tracking error

Operating clocks

Completed performance · Current MTD/YTD · Official portfolio · Preview are separate

CLOCK

ML selection ranking

ML Broad rank shows the primary ML Selection layer’s cross-sectional order. Rank 1 is strongest; it does not represent final portfolio weight.

ML LAYER
1 · REX2Cross-sectional ranking from the REX2 forecast.
2 · Chronos-2Cross-sectional ranking from the Chronos-2 forecast.
3 · Broad rankCombine normalized REX2 and Chronos-2 rank strength at 80/20, then order strongest to weakest.
The 80/20 blend uses normalized rank strength, not the displayed rank numbers themselves.
Broad rankETFREX2 rankChronos-2 rankBroad state
Held · 1–10: current holding remains in the entry zone Held · 11–15: incumbent is retained by the hold buffer Wait · 1–10: strong new candidate, but all 10 Broad slots are still occupied by valid incumbents

Decision structure

Three independent decision layers combined into one final portfolio

3 LAYERS

ACWI / Global Alpha risk profile

Adjust the investor-level mix; performance and investable holdings update together

PORTFOLIO-WIDE
100%ACWI core 0%
Tracking error—

Completed performance summary

Completed daily history · current MTD excluded

DAILY HISTORY
SeriesCumulativeCAGRAnn. volSharpe · rf=0MDDCalmarAnn. active returnTEIR · dailyRelative DD

Cumulative wealth

Completed daily history

Investor portfolioACWI ETF

Relative wealth vs ACWI

Portfolio wealth relative to ACWI

Drawdown

Peak-to-trough decline from each series’ prior high

Investor portfolioACWI ETF

Rolling tracking error

1-year and 2-year annualized tracking error

Rolling 1Y TERolling 2Y TE

Rolling information ratio

1-year and 2-year information ratio

Rolling 1Y IRRolling 2Y IR

Monthly returns

Latest 12 completed months in the chart; full history below

MonthPortfolioACWIExcess

Calendar-year returns

Investor portfolio vs ACWI

YearPortfolioACWIExcess

Investor portfolio weights

RISK PROFILE

Portfolio composition

Investor portfolio target weights by presentation group

Official holdings detail

OFFICIAL
DriverML rankETFRole familyExposureTarget wtCurrent wtHolding MTD

Preview holdings detail

PREVIEW · NOT EXECUTED
DriverML rankETFRole familyExposureStatusPreview wtOfficial wtΔ wt

ML selection universe breadth

Monthly point-in-time opportunity set for the primary ML Selection layer

Current ML universe by role

Role groups within the current point-in-time ML universe; counts sum to the current universe

CURRENT UNIVERSE

ML universe ranking

Broad rank is the current ML Broad rank. Blend score is a normalized ranking diagnostic, not an expected return or probability. Lower rank is stronger.

Broad rankETFNameBlend strengthREX2 rankChronos-2 rankRank bandBroad stateRole familyExposureRep months60M ready

ML Broad selection heatmap

Last 36 ML Broad decisions · completed history plus the current Official open holding month

Monthly portfolio history

Completed rows show closed holding-month returns. The current Official row is shown separately as OPEN; its return columns show Current MTD and are excluded from completed performance history. ML Broad and ML Static holdings are shown as diagnostics of the primary ML layer. Final Global returns and turnover reflect the full three-layer portfolio. The Excel export includes the full final target-weight history.
StateSignalHoldingACWI / Global AlphaML Broad holdingsML Static holdingsPortfolio turnoverReturn / MTDExcess / MTD

ACWI core / Global Alpha profile ladder

Same Global model, different investor risk budgets

ProfileTEAnn. activeIRCAGRMDDRelative DD

Tracking-error map

Realized historical TE by Global Alpha weight

Risk-profile interpretation. The ACWI core changes investor-level risk and performance only; it does not alter the underlying Global model, ETF selections, or the three decision layers.

ML transaction-cost sensitivity

Primary ML layer only · internal Broad / Static structure

Cost / sideIRAnn. activeTECAGRMDD

ML blend sensitivity

Nearby REX2 / Chronos-2 blends and hold thresholds for the primary ML layer

REX2 / Chronos-2 · HoldFull IREarlier IRLater IRTurnover

ML selection engine

Internal forecast-to-rank process used by the primary alpha layer

01
Point-in-time Broad universe

Dynamic U.S.-listed ETF representatives under point-in-time liquidity, history and exposure rules.

02
Broad price / return features

Per-ETF price and return features measured with point-in-time availability.

03
REX2 forecast

Ridge + ElasticNet forecasts transformed to cross-sectional rank strength.

04
Chronos-2 forecast

Pretrained time-series forecasts transformed to the same rank-strength scale.

05
Blend ML rank strength

80% REX2 + 20% Chronos-2 normalized rank strength.

06
Entry / hold rule

10 positions · enter at ranks 1–10 · existing holdings may remain through rank 15.

07
Static universe diversifier

Small static-universe sub-portfolio using the ML ranking framework with its own entry / hold mapping.

08
Merge ML sub-portfolios

Broad and Static targets are combined inside the ML layer; overlapping ETFs are merged before the Global layers are combined.

09
Investor risk translation

Optional ACWI core changes investor-level active risk after the Global portfolio is formed; model selections are unchanged.

Model contract